Month: June 2019

Harald Seiz: Visions and the future of money

The founder and CEO of Karatbars International, Mr.H Seiz, started his finance profession in the 1980s, working in the real-estate and insurance industries. He later became an independent financial consultant, building businesses worth millions of euros. He firmly believes in the significance of precious metals as a solution to the inflation of the current fiat currencies, which led him to establish Karatbars International that helps investors gain access to assets and preserve as well as enhance their wealth.

In his book “The Future of Money” he provides exciting awareness into our financial system. He explains how the modern world is transforming fiat currencies. His theory is that the society will start moving more away from the fiat currencies and more into the cryptocurrencies. He believes that cryptocurrency as a means of exchange is more practical, logical and will be the universal currency in the coming years.
This is where his idea to combine the modern cryptocurrency with the classic gold was born, and Karatbars International believes in this as well. Mr. Saiz went ahead to develop a cryptocurrency that is secure and has a physical equivalent in gold, the Karatgold Coin (KBC).

Karatgold Coin was launched in March 2018 and is believed to be the currency of the future. It is generally less volatile than other cryptocurrencies because its value is tied to gold. As the price of gold moves, so does the price of this currency. It is affected by external influences such as the government or even the general public.
In the book, Mr. Seiz notes that many investors measure their wealth in cash, which has the disadvantage of losing value by inflation. Though a certain amount of inflation is not harmful to the economy, it can devastate the net worth of individuals. However gold’s value remains stable, it acts as a natural inflation hedge. As fiat currency inflates, gold becomes worth more of that currency. Mr. Seiz emphasizes a small investor who owns some Karatgold Coins has the same potential as an investor who has larger sums of money. This implies gold can help investors obtain the financial security everybody needs.
For more on the book “the future of money” visit Harald Seiz

Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard

How do firms mitigate adverse selection and moral hazard derivative of asymmetric information? How do hidden characteristics or profiles exacerbate adverse selection? How do hidden actions and material modifications in behavior exacerbate moral hazard? The answers to these strategic questions are necessary to effective formulation and execution of optimal adverse selection and moral hazard mitigation strategies that equate marginal costs to marginal benefits. Additionally, optimal mitigation strategy minimizes the known probability and incidence of decision failures using the attendant adverse reactions and maximizes the net income producing capacity with the enterprise.

In this review, we examine some pertinent and extant academic literature on effective adverse selection and moral hazard optimal mitigation strategies. Each mitigation strategy has costs and benefits. Therefore, the goal function would be to maximize the net benefit for mitigation strategies. In practice, the best risk mitigation strategy equates marginal costs to marginal benefits by minimizing the incidence of side effects derivative of decision failures and maximizing the net income producing capacity with the enterprise.

Adverse selection and moral hazard are terms utilized in risk management, managerial economic and policy sciences to characterize situations where one party with a market transaction is in a disadvantage as a result of asymmetric information. In market transactions, adverse selection is the place there is a not enough symmetric information before agreements between sellers and buyers, while moral hazard develops when there is asymmetric information involving the two parties and material alterations in behavior of merely one party after agreements are already concluded.

For example, adverse selection arises in every situation where one party to your contract or negotiation, possesses material information strongly related the contract or negotiation which the other party lacks; this asymmetric material information leads the party lacking relevant and material information to generate decisions that creates it to suffer side effects. Therefore, adverse selection is the place one party makes decisions without the many relevant material information, which changes the health risks allocation involving the parties towards the transactions.

When one party has access to better or material relevant information compared to the other party after a transaction, it is stated that one has asymmetric information. Therefore, every time a party has asymmetric information, they could make a poor selection. Adverse selection arises if your actual risk is substantially higher compared to risk known at that time the agreement was reached. One party suffers side effects by accepting terms or receiving prices that will not accurately reflect actual risk exposure. The consequences of asymmetric information might be exacerbated by bounded rationality and cognitive biases attendant to many competitive usage of information. Conversely, moral hazard takes place when a party conceals or misrepresents material relevant information and changes behavior following the agreement is concluded and is also shielded on the consequences in the risks emanating from material alternation in behavior.

Economic and policy sciences suggest your choice makers mustn’t only know, but indeed, understand and anticipate consequences of asymmetric information to mitigate risks of adverse reactions attendant to adverse selection and moral hazard. There are classic examples from academia and insurance industry.

Non-selective academic programs attract a disproportionate volume of students whose previous academic background and profile get them to higher risk for academic success, retention, graduation, and. Indeed, that is a classic case of uncomfortable side effects derivative of adverse selection and moral hazard.

For example, non-selective admission process combines recruitment and selection which ends up in adverse selection. And once admitted, refusal to wait classes, refusal to accomplish assignments, refusal to look at notes in classes, critical listening, disruptive and inattentive conduct in is instances of post-enrollment moral hazard that will make non-selective students a the upper chances for retention, graduation and. Please note, it’s not at all the alternation in behavior per se that triggers moral hazard in cases like this. It is the discounted consequences from changed behavior that provides rise to moral hazard.

There is gathering evidence that many of these non-selective academic programs are increasingly able to accept higher risks derivative of adverse selection and moral hazard as their operating funds are enrollment driven. Therefore, inside the short-run enrollment is often a more pressing need than retention, graduation and site rates. The focus on enrollment is important but short-sighted and misguided because used, these benchmarks and indices are interrelated, circular and cumulative.

In the insurer industry, insured healthy females in childbirth age and healthy middle-aged females who subsequently seek creative methods for getting pregnant present adverse selection and moral hazard problems. Further, insurance applicants whose actual risks are substantially higher than the potential risks known by the insurance plan company are potentially interesting case studies. The insurance provider suffers uncomfortable side effects by offering coverage at premiums that don’t accurately reflect its actual risks exposure.

Risks Mitigation Strategies and Some Practical Guidance

Please talk to competent professional for specific advice. The following are general guidelines determined by review of extant academic literature, cumulative professional practice and finest industry practices. In sum, adverse selection and moral hazard derivative of asymmetric information expose parties to transactions to undue levels of higher risks that they are not adequately and appropriately compensated. Therefore, it is necessary for parties to take all of the steps possible to mitigate risks of adverse reactions derivative of asymmetric information along with the attendant decision failures.

Managerial economic principles and industry practices suggest screening and sorting to mitigate adverse selection, and incentive contracts to mitigate moral hazard. Additionally, strategic intelligence systems (SIS) that supply relevant, accurate and timely identification and quantification of risk factors is strongly recommended.

In risk management, the by using aggregate limits of liability and policy riders that proscribe post-contract material unilateral actions, and caps aggregate financial risks to parties is strongly recommended. Further, dispositive disclosure, discovery, monitoring, random inspection, and verification are strongly recommended.

Finally, because adverse selection derives from hidden characteristics and profiles and moral hazard derives from hidden actions, your decision systems and strategic intelligence systems need to be transparent and offer relevant, accurate and timely information to facilitate decisions according to known possibility of risks incidence and allocation involving the parties to your transactions with due and appropriate compensation.